Techaisle Blog

The industry has moved past "AI as a feature." We now operate in a world where AI is the fundamental "operating system" of business. The next two years will be defined by a reckoning, separating partners who use AI from partners who become AI-native.

These ten predictions are not isolated trends; they are part of three interconnected "mega-trends" that define the new ecosystem: the rise of the AI-Native Partner, the shift to a new IP & Service Economy, and the creation of a new Ecosystem Operating Model.

Mega-Trend 1: The AI-Native Partner

This mega-trend focuses on the new business models and roles emerging as AI becomes an autonomous actor, not just a tool. It details the profound shift in partner identity, value, and the very nature of human-led services.

1. The Autonomous Partner Emerges, Forcing a Pivot to AI Governance.

The "Autonomous Partner" is a new, AI-native entity where autonomous agents, not humans, deliver the majority of L1/L2 managed services. This bifurcates the market: human-led partners will be forced to pivot from delivering services to becoming "AI Governors," whose premium value lies in the training, security, and governance of these autonomous-agent fleets.

• Implications for Vendors: Your new partner type is an AI. Your partner portal, incentives, and APIs are not built for this. You must develop a "non-human partner" track, with API-based recruitment and programmatic support.
• Implications for Partners: Your business model is not "using AI to be more efficient." Your new business model is "building and managing AI workers." You are either building the "AI Governor" practice or you are being replaced by it.

2. AI-Powered Partner Enablement Becomes the New "Moat."

Partner behavior is evolving rapidly in 2024 and 2025, with a heightened focus on growth, speed, and innovation. To achieve these goals, partners are aggressively pursuing new customers, automating processes, and integrating AI into both their product offerings and internal operations. This strategic shift is driven by the recognition that AI has the potential to reshape the partner ecosystem, demanding a pivot from vendor dependency to customer-centric value creation. As a result, partners are prioritizing specialization and agility while placing a premium on developing AI capabilities. Red Hat's timely updates to its partner program acknowledge these shifts and position the company to support partners in navigating this dynamic landscape.

In July 2024, Red Hat introduced an enhanced unified global partner program. I was fortunate to have had some involvement with the Red Hat partner team as it developed its strategy for partner business empowerment. Red Hat’s Partner Program is flexible and globally consistent, enabling partners to customize their participation while maintaining a unified approach across regions. It aims to build strong relationships and drive mutual growth globally.

Let us go deeper into each area, which I feel the partners and partners’ customers will appreciate.

Program Structure

Red Hat's Partner Program balances global consistency and local flexibility, empowering partners to tailor their participation to specific market needs while upholding a unified partnership approach. According to Techaisle's Partner Survey, 46% of global partners desire vendor partner programs that maintain a consistent framework while accommodating regional variations. This structure allows partners to customize their participation according to their unique business needs while ensuring a unified approach across various regions. The program is built to accommodate multiple types of partners, including resellers, system integrators, distribution, and independent software vendors, providing them with the necessary tools and resources to succeed. By maintaining a globally consistent framework, Red Hat ensures that all partners access the same high-quality support and opportunities regardless of location. This approach fosters a strong sense of community among partners and helps Red Hat maintain its standards and deliver exceptional value to its customers worldwide.

The aviation phrase “all thrust, no vector” is sometimes used to describe individuals or initiatives that exhibit a great deal of energy (such as the power required for a plane to achieve liftoff) but no clear sense of direction. It is an apt description of the current state of the IT channel.

• The IT channel is facing several challenges, including the need to deliver more business value, the shift to as-a-Service contracts, and the need for new skills.
• There is no clear consensus on the best way to address these challenges.
• Channel partners are struggling to find a balance between investing in new initiatives and maintaining their existing operations.

Consider the critical business issues identified by survey respondents in Techaisle’s survey as a starting point. Ten issues (from a list of 19 options) were identified as important by more than one-quarter of respondents, but not one was identified as important by more than half. Respondents are trying to reduce volatility in their businesses by managing uncertainty, reducing churn, and focusing on customer retention – and/or they are attempting to drive growth by improving speed to market, focusing on new markets, and increasing the number of offerings sold to each customer – and/or they are looking to shore up core operations through improving sales and marketing effectiveness, attracting and retaining employees, and increasing engagement with vendor partners.