It is a well-known fact that every new platform or major shift in technology requires a killer app. For PCs it was largely basic productivity apps such as word processing and spreadsheets and presentation software. While platforms have changed, these basic productivity apps maintain their killer app status.
Office 365 from Microsoft is a single suite that takes the popular, dominant Office applications and puts them in the Cloud. You can read the CNET review here. We believe this is a boon for SMBs. Over the years, these productivity apps have become very expensive as their capabilities have expanded. Even so, SMBs depend on these to such an extent that they bite the bullet and purchase these for every person in the office. With Office 365, SMBs can now shift that capital expense into the operating expense category, paying $6/month per user (for SMBs with fewer than 25 employees) for the suite of Office applications. These apps are not full featured online replicas of their desktop based kin. They offer limited functionality but the 80-20 rule applies here. The majority of functions most people need are in fact available. Even if an SMB does not shift all of its employees to Office 365, they can still save money by shifting part of their workforce that does not require the full featured desktop versions. In other words, why buy a Lexus when a Corolla will do.
One aspect that can be problematic for SMBs considering using Office 365 is that it forces a firm to move their domain to Microsoft or its partner hosting the solution. But companies that have already invested in a website will need the help of a Microsoft partner to make Office 365 work for the organization without having to move the domain. And this is where Microsoft faces its largest stumbling block. For small companies, Microsoft does not have the infrastructure to support potentially millions of small businesses who may not have a partner or may not want to engage a partner. This begs us to question whether Microsoft is really committed to real small business. All signs point towards Microsoft focusing their efforts on gaining larger small businesses where they win more seats per deal. Really small businesses are the subject of a “breadth” marketing strategy which basically means that Microsoft will rely exclusively on partners or on the savvy of the small business owners themselves to sign up for and properly configure Office 365 services.
Some of the recent surveys conducted by Techaisle with Channel Partners shows that channels will begin reselling Office 365 although reluctantly. The first mover channels would be the ones that currently offer BPOS, Hosted Exchange, and Hosted SharePoint. These channel partners could be service providers or smaller VARs who are the trusted advisors to the very small businesses typically less than 25 employees.
Office 365 is a great idea and is a good first attempt from Microsoft. But a good product must be backed by the right support systems. This is particularly important when products are being provided as a service. It changes the fundamental nature of Microsoft’s conversation with its customers. It is not software anymore. It is a service.
Abhijeet Rane
Techaisle
Techaisle Analyst Insights
The entire IT industry is on an unmistakable path to virtualization with certain segments adopting it faster than others (e.g. financial sector, hosting companies, etc.) Server virtualization is still the primary driver of virtualization although, in the last couple of years, VDI (virtual desktop infrastructure), which helps virtualize all client devices like desktops, laptops, tablets and smartphones has also shown remarkable growth. Storage virtualization is limited to the larger companies with vast amounts of storage although it will be an integral part of cloud delivery centers as well as integrated/converged data centers. These trends will make virtualization a growth market for several years.
While large companies are adopting virtualization on their in-house infrastructure, only certain SMBs are likely to adopt in-house virtualization. Most will be delivered virtualized solutions (especially VDI) via virtual infrastructures by hosters.
The largest share of Virtualization adoption by SMBs comes from North America, however, Asia/Pacific is the place to be. Asia/Pacific right now shows two distinct trends. On one hand, we see a number of smaller companies adopting in-house IT infrastructures. On the other hand, businesses with somewhat larger IT needs have started to adopt virtualization and the trend is expected to gain momentum in the near future. Armed with latest information about latest technologies and driven by rapid business growth (and corresponding growth of their IT infrastructures), Asia/Pacific businesses have shown a high openness towards, and willingness to adopt virtualization. In many cases, virtualization is an integral part of the discussions while designing and implementing new IT infrastructures among Asia/Pacific businesses.
The growth rate of Virtualization in Asia/Pacific is a little over 28 percent from 2010.
Virtualization reaching the Consumer Market
Virtualization is already being used by consumers and small businesses widely. The most common example of this is Parallels, which allows consumers to run Windows operating systems on their Apple machines. (Other vendors also have comparable products to help consumers run multiple OS’ on their machines.
Microsoft has also made virtual machines integral to its Windows 7 OS that allows users to run their Windows XP applications on their new Windows 7 operating systems.
In the near term, this trend of using multiple OS’ on a single machine will accelerate. Further down the road, it is entirely possible that increasing reliance on cloud-delivered services may reduce the users' need for on-site virtualization. But that is still further down the road and the exact trend is still an open question.
Market Leader in Virtualization
VMware is still the dominant leader with over two-thirds to three-fourths of the market for server virtualization. What contributed to its leadership position is that it has the benefit of an early start, a broad range of supporting products for managing virtual environments, a strong channel and partnerships with most leading vendors for the resale of its products.
Challenging VMware's Market Dominance
VMware has three major advantages: its portfolio of products, ecosystem to implement and support VMware's environments and brand recognition. Any competitor who hopes to compete with VMware head on will need to at least match VMware's strengths in these areas. Citrix is gaining traction, especially with its VDI initiatives. Microsoft has the potential to compete with VMware but will need to focus more. Other competitors are still in early phases and unlikely to pose a major threat to VMware in the short term.
Various attempts at open source solutions that would reduce or potentially eliminate the reliance on the underlying virtualization platform are still in very initial stages. Theoretically, adoption of open solutions will avoid a vendor lock-in by customers as they would be able to move applications easily. Even if the efforts take off, it'll take a few years to have any material impact on VMware's dominance. A greater source of threat for VMware is competition from other vendors like Citrix, Microsoft and other smaller vendors (including potentially Oracle).
VCE's vision of integrated data centers needs to be supplemented by tangible products for its eventual success. It might take some time before such integrated data centers are designed and developed and gain customer acceptance. However, short-term ups and downs aside, the industry will move towards such integrated products coming from various vendors (e.g. HP's converged infrastructure). These integrated modular data centers will make it much easier for companies to install them and reduce their costs for designing, installing and maintaining these data centers.
Tavishi Agrawal
Techaisle
Pilgrimage
Salesforce.com held its annual customer and partner pilgrimage last week called the Dreamforce 2011. This mega event had a whopping 45,000 registered attendees and at least 15,000 were present for the opening keynote by Marc Benioff. The much anticipated keynote was given by Marc Benioff who no doubt he is a master marketer. He
successfully drilled home the message of Social Enterprise and how Chatter fits
neatly into the vision of new type of collaboration, interaction and customer
acquisition.
In fact not only the keynote but the entire event had widespread case studies from large enterprises that were using Chatter as their hub for all internal conversation. Heavyweights from Coca Cola, Burberry, NBC Universal, Verizon and others were there to lend support and show how Salesforce.com was helping them transform their sales organizations. Even the billboard cut outs had quotes from CEOs of prominent enterprises touting the benefitsof Chatter on multiple devices such as iPads, Tablets and mobile phones.
Key Announcements
The event was very significant in more ways than one. On the one hand it had four key announcements while on the other it did not talk a lot about SMBs. But contrary to popular sentiments many of the announcements may actually be very relevant for SMBs.
Four Key Announcements were:
- Chatter: ability to create and maintain a private social network for business and soon to be available (Chatter Now, Chatter Customer Groups, Chatter Connect, Chatter Inline Filters, Chatter Approvals)
- Data.com: ability to create targeted lists from 30+ million business leads from Jigsaw as well as 200+ million in-depth company profiles from D&B and connect them into the CRM process
- Database.com: a database for the business built and used in the cloud
- Touch.salesforce.com: built in HTML5 with the capability of rendering any app built on Force.com platform to any mobile device without modification
SMB Suitability?
While all of the above technologies are great for Enterprises some are better suited for SMBs than others, especially for the less than 100 employees’ businesses. Last year Salesforce.com had revenues of $1.6 Billion with over 100,000 customers (Salesforce.com Annual Report). This suggests an average of $16,000 per customer and much fewer than 100 users per customer. And this leads us to believe that most of Salesforce.com’s customers are upper-mid-market businesses. The above announcements fall firmly within the realm and sweet spot of the 100-999 employee size businesses.
Chatter as an SMB Collaborative Platform
As per Techaisle’s continuous Global SMB research, a small business (1-99) has an average of 8 employees in the US and 20 percent, that is, 1.2 employees per small business are on the Cloud. With this low number of employees will Chatter be a viable option for small businesses? These small businesses are already overburdened and hamstrung with using Facebook, Twitter and other external facing social networking channels? The answer is yes with some modifications. Recent Techaisle study shows that 81 percent of SMBs are adopting mobility solutions, 66 percent of small business employees and 48 percent of mid-market employees either work from home or travel for work at least once a week. For these employees and business owners collaboration is a top of mind issue. To that extent Chatter is a great collaboration tool. Chatter makes the work from anywhere and anytime easier for SMBs. It makes it all the more important for mid-market businesses to adopt Chatter as they have an average of 125 employees per business and 30 percent of them are on cloud.
Database.com & Data.com
This is where the divergence begins. Are database.com and data.com relevant for SMBs? Yes, but the pricing and unpredictable monthly expenditure may limit SMBs’ use and deployment. Database.com is being offered free for up to 3 standard users, 3 admin users, 100,000 records and 50,000 transactions per month. Both a B2C SMB and B2B SMB will have more than 100,000 records but necessarily not 50,000 transactions. It also depends upon the size and vertical of the business. Therefore, it will take time for proper used cases to accumulate before SMBs and their channel partners can begin to recommend such a
solution.
Data.com is quite a powerful tool priced at $99 per user per month. This allows up to 300 records per month to be imported with additional records at $0.50 per record. This is quite an attractive pricing for SMBs. However, it would be up to their channel partners to show them the value along with some price comparisons. Most SMBs may require more than 300 records per month while others may require less depending upon their coverage areas. More mid-market businesses would be able to use it rather than small businesses.
Jigsaw (genesis behind data.com) suffers from its crowd sourcing practice [in that it is populated by people in exchange of credits to see other people] - often data is not up to date and the proportion of businesses contacts tend to be of large enterprises, so not a lot for SMBs to get records and lists of neighborhood businesses, non-profits and other organizations. This may create a dilemma for an SMB paying customer if they cannot find relevant contacts.
Next Steps for Salesforce.com's SMB Strategy
As the adoption of salesforce.com continues within large enterprises it begins to look like ERP implementations of yesteryears. The cost to switch is tremendous. With a great messaging from Salesforce.com enterprises are willing and able to deepen their relationship with Salesforce.com.
Techaisle’s Cloud Computing research and market sizing shows that Cloud CRM spend by small businesses (1-99 employees) in the US alone is expected to be US$679 million in 2012. While Salesforce.com seems to have done well in the midmarket (100-999 employees) segment, 6 million small businesses (1-99 employees) in the US alone represent a huge opportunity.
Salesforce.com derives over two-thirds of its revenues from the US even though US accounts for just one-fourth of the world’s GDP and even other large tech companies derive a much greater share of their revenues from overseas than Salesforce.com. Techaisle's research shows a significant increase in awareness of and willingness to adopt SaaS solutions in several countries both among SMBs and Enterprises. In fact only 35 percent of SMB Cloud CRM spends in 2012 is expected to come from the US.
Salesforce.com has yet to show its commitment and plan for a global SMB reach.
Salesfore.com has grown rapidly and the guidance for this year is also for continuation of that trend. However, the market conditions will begin to change with the the dramatic increase in awareness as well as potential supply of SaaS providers especially targeting the SMBs. Techaisle’s global research also finds that SMBs in selected markets also show a significant willingness to adopt various other SaaS solutions. Given the SMBs’ proclivity to purchase multiple solutions from a single provider, Salesforce.com should plan to broaden its offerings beyond CRM and also allow for easy and efficient integration with its
CRM offerings.
Salesforce.com has been a pioneer in the PaaS space with its Force.com offering. The platform is being used primarily by enterprises or channel partners (e.g. ISVs, VARs and systems integrators). To continue its reach within the SMB segments Salesforce.com has to develop a stronger channel ecosystem which could contribute to growth in its subscription base.
Anurag Agrawal
Techaisle
SAP has agreed to acquire cloud-based human capital management (HCM) offerings provider SuccessFactors for $3.4 billion. Under the acquisition, SuccessFactors' team and technology will be added to SAP's cloud assets and the combination of SAP and SuccessFactors will establish an advanced end-to-end offering of cloud and on-premise solutions for managing all relevant business processes.
Without a doubt SAP has made a good move and in the right direction. One may argue that paying 13 times the revenue for a loss making company with nearly 66% of revenue going towards SG&A does not make financial sense. However, if SAP can leverage SuccessFactors’ technology and talent to speed up its transition to the cloud, the price would be quite worth paying. In fact, by offering SuccessFactors’ technology to its current customers, SAP could help reduce the cost of new customer acquisition for SuccessFactors, which has been a major concern for many SaaS providers.
SAP has been trying to add subscription-based cloud solutions to its license and services offerings for a long time. A lot has been written about non-success of SAP’s Business ByDesign – a SaaS offering for large-scale business-management deployment focused on growing mid-market companies. SAP needed just the right acquisition to truly begin its journey into the cloud.
SuccessFactors will not only provide SAP with 3,500 customers, but also technology and above all talent. SAP’s task in the immediate future would be use the technology and talent to scale across businesses, in effect a larger customer base. This is something that Cisco does well and has repeatedly demonstrated its capabilities across numerous acquisitions.
While enterprise and mid-market businesses can be targeted through the acquisition, there is still no “S”, that is, small business, within the SAP portfolio. The small business cloud computing market is the most fragmented and among the fastest growing. SAP should continue to look for acquisitions in the area. Possibilities could be Concur, SugarCRM, Zoho and others.
Several companies are ahead of SAP in delivering SaaS to small businesses including Microsoft Dynamics, Salesforce.com and NetSuite. Microsoft also has one of the largest numbers of channel partners that are very conversant with Microsoft cloud solutions and Salesforce.com has its Force.com platform that enables channel partners to develop new solutions for their customers. SAP should also think about expanding its SMB-focused channel partner base and offering PaaS for those partners to develop new solutions for
SMBs.
Anurag Agrawal
Techaisle
